Former President Donald Trump has a small lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in the latest national poll conducted by the conservative-leaning firm, Rasmussen, released this week.
Trump is reported to have a 49% to 46% in the head-to-head poll, which was conducted between August 15 and August 21. Harris did, however, gain some ground as she previously trailed 49% to 45% in the poll released by Rasmussen one week prior.
Trump also has a 47% to 45% advantage over Harris when third-party candidates are considered, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 4% and all others at 1% or less, according to Rasmussen. Kennedy, a Democrat until launching his campaign as an Independent in 2023, is reportedly expected to drop out and endorse Trump, according to multiple reports.
Rasmussen’s poll is an outlier among recent national polling with Harris reported to have a 51% to 48% edge over Trump in the latest CBS News/YouGov poll released on Sunday (August 18). Harris was also reported to have a 50% to 46% lead over Trump in the first Emerson College Polling national survey conducted since President Joe Biden‘s decision not to seek re-election, with 5% of voters claiming to be undecided.
The vice president also had a reported 52% to 48% advantage with undecided voters’ support allocated, as well as a 48% to 44% edge with third-party candidates on the ballot, including Kennedy at 4%, according to the most recent Emerson College Polling national survey.
The August Emerson College national poll only surveyed likely voters, while previous polls included all registered voters. Trump’s support decreased by two points among likely voters from 48% to 46% from the previous month, while Harris’ support was three points higher than President Biden at 47% in July.
Trump was, however, reported to hold a 49% to 48% margin in Pennsylvania in a head-to-head matchup, as well as 51% to 49% with undecided voters’ support allocated, according to the Emerson College Polling/RealClearPennsylvania survey released last Friday (August 16). The two candidates are both reported to have 47% support, respectively, when third-party candidates are on the ballot, with Kennedy at 3% and 2% claiming to be undecided.
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