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New Poll Shows Where Harris, Trump Stand In Crucial Swing State

Former President Donald Trump holds a slight lead against Vice President Kamala Harris in the battleground state of Pennsylvania, according to the latest Emerson College Polling/RealClearPennsylvania survey released on Friday (August 16).

Trump reportedly leads Harris by a 49% to 48% margin in the Keystone State in a head-to-head matchup, as well as 51% to 49% with undecided voters’ support allocated. The two candidates are both reported to have 47% support, respectively, when third-party candidates are on the ballot, with Robert F. Kennedy at 3% and 2% claiming to be undecided.

“Pennsylvania likely voters in unions break for Harris by 15 points, 57% to 42%, while those not in a union and without union members in the household break for Trump, 50% to 48%,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “Those with union members in the household break from Trump, 50% to 42%.

A national Emerson College poll reported that Harris had a 50% to 46% lead over Trump with 5% of voters claiming to be undecided in the first Emerson College Polling national survey conducted since President Joe Biden‘s decision not to seek re-election, which was released Thursday (August 15) morning. The vice president also has a reported 52% to 48% advantage with undecided voters’ support allocated, as well as a 48% to 44% edge with third-party candidates on the ballot, including Kennedy at 4%.

The August Emerson College national poll only surveyed likely voters, while previous polls included all registered voters. Trump’s support decreased by two points among likely voters from 48% to 46% from the previous month, while Harris’ support was three points higher than President Biden at 47% in July.

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