New polling data from Emerson College, released on Thursday, reveals new frontrunners in the 2026 California Governor’s race, with Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco leading former Fox News host Steve Hilton by one point among Republicans. The poll, commissioned by Nexstar and Inside California Politics, shows Bianco’s support has increased by two percentage points since October, while Hilton’s support has decreased by four points, leading to a shift in the Republican frontrunner.
On the Democratic side, U.S. Representative Eric Swalwell has emerged as the new leader, surpassing former frontrunner Katie Porter by one point. Swalwell’s recent entry into the race has significantly impacted the Democratic field, as Porter’s support dropped by four points amid complaints about her behavior and a viral video incident.
Despite these changes, a significant portion of voters remains undecided, with 31% of respondents not yet committed to any candidate. The primary election is set for June 2026, with the top two vote-getters, regardless of party, advancing to the November general election.
Governor Gavin Newsom, who cannot seek re-election, has seen his approval rating rise to 47%, the highest of the year in Emerson College polls. Newsom’s endorsement could influence the race, as voters are divided on its impact. The governor’s increased popularity follows his successful push for Proposition 50, a redistricting plan.
As the race continues, the lack of a clear frontrunner highlights the uncertainty in both parties, with candidates vying for undecided voters’ support.
Emerson College Polling and KTLA provide additional insights into the evolving political landscape in California.
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