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Trump’s Approval Rating Shifts Among Strongest Base

President Donald Trump is reportedly losing support among white voters, according to a recent Marquette Law School Supreme Court poll.

The survey, which was conducted between January 21 and January 28, shows that a majority 50% of white non-Hispanic respondents either strongly disapprove (40%) or somewhat disapprove (10%) his job performance compared to a combined 49% who either strongly approve (23%) or somewhat approve (26%). The 49% approval is still higher than most other races and ethnicities, with the president scoring a combined 22% among Black non-Hispanic respondents; 30% among Hispanic respondents; and 37% among ‘other’ respondents.

A 55% majority of white voters cast ballots for Trump over former Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 election, which was identical to the share in his 2020 election loss to former President Joe Biden and 1% higher than his 54% in his 2016 victory against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. The president is reported to currently have a -12.6 average net approval rating, with a 42.3% approval and 54.9% disapproval, according to Real Clear Polling‘s averages of national polls conducted between January 20 and February 8, which includes the Marquette poll, as well as surveys from Rasmussen Reports; the Economist/YouGov; Quinnipiac; the Daily Mail; Reuters/Ipsos; and FOX News.

Famed polling expert Nate Silver said expects Trump’s approval rating to continue dropping in his latest Silver Bulletin blog published on Tuesday (February 3). Silver had Trump at an average net approval rating of -14.3%, which is slightly above his second term low of -15.0%, while the number of Americans who strongly disapprove of his job performance hit a new second term high of 45.7% on Monday (February 2), with only 24.2% saying they strongly approve his performance, according to Silver.

“How should we expect Trump’s approval rating to change over the next few weeks? Currently, most of the highest-weighted polls in our average include some data from after Alex Pretti’s killing on January 24, but went into the field a few days before the 24th (meaning not all respondents were aware of the killing when they took the poll). As the killing becomes fully baked into the polls, Trump’s numbers might decline further,” Silver wrote.

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