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Overwhelming Favorite Leads 2028 Republican Nomination Poll

Vice President JD Vance is currently the overwhelming favorite to win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, according to a 2028 Hypothetical Republican Primary survey conducted by Emerson Polling.

The poll, which was shared on Friday (June 27), has Vance at 46%, leading Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 12%, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis at 9%, Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 5% and Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem at 2%. Additionally, 17% of respondents were undecided, which was higher than the favorability of any candidate other than Vance.

The full results from the Emerson College 2028 Hypothetical Republican Primary survey are included below:

  1. JD Vance- 46%
  2. Marco Rubio- 12%
  3. Ron DeSantis- 9%
  4. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.- 5%
  5. Kristi Noem- 2%
  6. Nikki Haley– 2%
  7. Vivek Ramaswamy– 1%
  8. Glenn Youngkin– 1%
  9. Brian Kemp– <0.5%
  10. Scott Bessent– <0.5%
  11. Ted Cruz– <0.5%
  12. Someone else- 4%
  13. Undecided- 17%

Former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg led all other candidates in a 2028 Hypothetical Democratic Primary survey conducted by Emerson Polling. The poll has Buttigieg at 16%, leading former Vice President and 2024 Democratic nominee Kamala Harris at 13%, California Gov. Gavin Newsom at 12%, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 7% and Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro at 7%.

Undecided voters, however, were the overall majority at 23%.

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