Vice President JD Vance is reportedly the current favorite to win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, according to the latest Emerson College Polling survey released on Thursday (February 26).
Vance has an overwhelming lead among potential 2028 Republican candidates with a majority 52%. Secretary of State Marco Rubio is second at 20% followed by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis at 6%, Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy at 4%, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley at 3%, Sen. Ted Cruz at 1% and 11% claiming to be undecided. The vice president has long been the projected favorite to succeed President Donald Trump atop the Republican ticket in 2028, despite the administration’s poor polling numbers.
“Republican voters are strongly behind Vance, supporting the Vice President 59% to Rubio’s 19%. Independents who plan on voting in the 2028 Republican Primary also favor Vance, though by a narrower margin of 33% to 23%,” said Emerson College Polling executive director Spencer Kimball.
California Gov. Gavin Newsom is reportedly the current favorite to win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Newsom has 20% of support among Democratic likely primary voters in the survey, which is the most among the specific potential candidates mentioned, but still less than the majority 24% of undecided respondents.
Former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg, who had previously led all potential Democratic primary candidates in an Emerson College Polling survey conducted last June, is currently second at 16%, followed by former Vice President Kamala Harris at 13%, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio–Cortez at 9%, Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro at 7%, Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear at 5%, Illinois Gov. JB Pritzker at 3% and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer at 2%.
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