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New National Poll Shows Where Harris, Trump Stand

A new national poll shows that Vice President Kamala Harris has an edge over former President Donald Trump.

Harris is reported to have a 50% to 46% lead over Trump with 5% of voters claiming to be undecided in the first Emerson College Polling national survey conducted since President Joe Biden‘s decision not to seek re-election, which was released Thursday (August 15) morning. The vice president also has a reported 52% to 48% advantage with undecided voters’ support allocated, as well as a 48% to 44% edge with third-party candidates on the ballot, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 4%.

The August Emerson College national poll only surveyed likely voters, while previous polls included all registered voters. Trump’s support decreased by two points among likely voters from 48% to 46% from the previous month, while Harris’ support was three points higher than President Biden at 47% in July.

“Likely voters under 30 have shifted toward Harris by nine points, 56% of whom supported Biden, 65% now support Harris,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “Voters over 70 also support Harris over Trump, 51% to 48% — last month they broke 50% to 48% for Trump.”

“Independents break for Harris, 46% to 45%, flipping since last month when likely independent voters broke for Trump 45% to 44%,” he added.

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