California Gov. Gavin Newsom is the favorite to win the 2028 Democratic primary in a poll conducted within his home state.
Newsom received 23% of support in a hypothetical Democratic Primary poll released by Emerson College Polling on Friday (August 8). The California governor was also reported to have a 44% job approval rating and a 38% disapproval rating among the California voters surveyed.
Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg was second with 17% support, followed by former Vice President Kamala Harris at 11%, Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 9%, Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear at 5%, Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro at 4% and Sen. Bernie Sanders at 4%.
Vice President JD Vance was reported to be the overwhelming favorite for the 2028 Republican nomination with 40% support. Vance is reported to have a 30-point lead over United States Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is currently polling at 10%
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis ranks third at 9%, followed by former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, Secretary of State Marco Rubio at 4% and entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy at 4%. The Emerson College poll mirrored several other hypothetical Republican primary surveys in which Vance was reported to have a sizable lead over the field, having also polled at 40% in an early poll released by Echelon Insights on July 14.
The Emerson College Poll also has former Democratic Rep. Katie Porter as the favorite in the 2026 California gubernatorial election at 18%, followed by Republican former FOX News contributor Steve Hilton at 12%.
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