Former President Donald Trump reportedly leads Vice President Kamala Harris by a slim lead in two key swing states.
Trump leads Harris by a 50% to 48% margin in North Carolina and a 49% to 48% margin in Wisconsin, according to the October 2024 Emerson College polls for the two battleground states.
“There is a clear gender divide, with men favoring Trump more strongly than women for Harris,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “In North Carolina, men back Trump by 13 points, while women support Harris by seven points. In Wisconsin, men support Trump by 12, while women favor Harris by nine points.”
The Emerson College polls for Wisconsin and North Carolina were conducted on October 21 and October 22 and had a 3.4% margin of error.
Harris and Trump were reported to be deadlocked in the seven swing states, splitting battleground states and polling within the margin of error, according to a Washington Post-Schar School poll released on Monday (October 21). Trump currently leads in Arizona (49% to 46%) and North Carolina (50% to 47%); Harris leads in Georgia (51% to 47%), Michigan (49% to 47%), Pennsylvania (49% to 47%) and Wisconsin (50% to 47%); and both candidates are tied in Nevada at 48% among likely voters.
Harris is also reported to lead in Georgia (50% to 44%), Nevada (47% to 44%), Pennsylvania (49% to 46%) and Wisconsin (50% to 46%), while Trump has the advantage in Arizona (50% to 44%), Michigan (47% to 46%) and North Carolina (49% to 45) among registered voters. The margin of error for the swing state poll results ranged from plus-or-minus 3.9 to 5 percentage points.
Harris is also reported to have a 49% to 48% edge over Trump nationally, which has a margin of error of 1.7 percentage points.
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